Iindaba - Ngaba uMjikelo woNyango woNyango waqala? (Isahluko 1)

Ngaba umjikelo woNyango we-RMB uqalile? (Isahluko 1)

Ukusukela ngoJulayi, amaxabiso e-onshore kunye ne-overshore RMM kwiDollar yase-US kuye kwaxakwa i-2% ye-Agasti ye-US nge-24 kaJulayi. Nge-20 ka-Agasti, i-Agasti Ireyithi yokutshintshiselana nge-RMM ngokuchasene ne-US Dolve ye-US ifake inqaku eliphezulu nge-5 ka-Agasti, ukuxabisa nge-2.3% ukusuka kwindawo ephantsi nge-3 kaJulayi.

Ukujonga phambili kwimakethi yexesha elizayo, ngaba i-RMM ye-RMM ye-RMM ye-RMM ye-US yedola ingena kwijelo elingaphezulu? Siyakholelwa ukuba i-RMB yangoku yeRMMM ichasene nedola yaseMelika luthando olusezantsi ngenxa yokuthoba koqoqosho lwase-US kunye nokulindela ukusikwa kwenqanaba lenzala. Ukusuka kwimbono yexabiso lenzala phakathi kwe-China kunye neUnited States, umngcipheko wokupheliswa kwe-RMB uye wenza buthathaka kuqoqosho lwasekhaya kunye neeprojekthi zangoku, phambi kwedola yase-US iya kungena kumjikelo wombulelo. Okwangoku, ireyithi ye-RMM ye-RMM ngokuchasene nedola yaseMelika inokuguquguquka kwimikhombandlela zombini.

Unomjikelo woNyaniso lweRMM

Uqoqosho lwe-US luyacotha, kwaye i-RMB iyayiqonda ngokufanelekileyo.
Kwidatha yezoqoqosho epapashiweyo, uqoqosho lwase-US lubonise iimpawu ezibonakalayo zokwenza buthathaka, ezaziphembelela kwinkxalabo yentengiso malunga nemali ye-US. Nangona kunjalo, ukugweba kwizalathi-nkqubela njengokuthengiswa kunye nemveliso yenkonzo, umngcipheko we-US vissoction isezantsi kakhulu, kwaye idola yaseMelika ayikhange ifumane ingxaki.

Imakethi yomsebenzi ipholile, kodwa ayizukwa kukudodobala kwemali. Inani lemisebenzi emitsha yezolimo ngoJulayi yawa kabukhali kwi-114,000 yenyanga nenyanga-ngenyanga, kwaye iqondo elingasebenzi linyuka laya kwi-4.3% engaphaya kokulindelwe, ukuqhubela phambili "umgaqo" wokuwohloka. Ngelixa intengiso yomsebenzi ipholile, inani lemibala aliphikisi, ikakhulu kuba inani labantu abaqeshiweyo liyancipha, elibonisa ukuba uqoqosho lukwinqanaba lokuqala lokupholisa kwaye awukangenisi ukudodobala kwemali.

Imikhwa yengqesho yemveliso ye-US yemveliso ye-US kunye nenkonzo iyaphazamisa. Kwelinye icala, kukho ingcinezelo enkulu yokwehla kwengqesho. Ukugweba kwisalathiso somsebenzi se-US I-Ism senza uMfu, kuba i-Fed iqale ukukhulisa amaxabiso enzala ekuqaleni kweminyaka engama-2022, i-Index ibonakalise imeko esezantsi. Ukusukela nge-20 kaJulayi 2024, index yayingama-43.4%, ukonakala kwe-5.9 eepesenti amanqaku avela kwinyanga ephelileyo. Kwelinye icala, ingqesho kwishishini lenkonzo ihlala iqhubeka eqhubekayo. Ukujonga isalathiso somsebenzi se-Ism EngMM I-Ism, i-them ye-2024, index yayiyi-51.1%, i-5 yeepesenti zepesenti ukusuka kwinyanga ephelileyo.

Ngokuchasene ne-Backdrop yokuhamba kancinci kuqoqosho lwase-US, isalathiso se-US Dolar selt sihle kakhulu, idola yaseMelika ixabisa ezinye iimali, kunye ne-hedge ye-hedges 'idola yaseMelika inciphile kakhulu. Idatha ekhutshwe yi-CFTC ibonise ukuba iveki ye-13 ka-Agasti, indawo ende yeNgxowa-mali kwi-18,500 kuphela i-20,500 kuphela yekota engaphezu kwama-20.


Ixesha lokuposa: Sep-14 ukuya ku-924